In a battle of two much-admired films, the sheer amount of love for The Artist will carry the day
The Oscars have a list of nine films for Best Picture. BAFTA
has five films in its list for Best Film. BAFTA’s list is better, for BAFTA
includes The Artist and The Descendants, two of the finest films
you’d wish to see, the worthy The Help,
which was surprisingly nominated ahead of Hugo,
and it includes Drive, one of the
most brilliantly well-executed films of the year, and, of course, it is the
only major awards body to have given a nomination to the best film of 2011,
namely Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy.
So, who will win?
Well, The Help hasn’t got a hope. It is very surprising that it has been nominated for Best Film. It is a solid and perfectly watchable piece of light drama about civil rights in Mississippi in the 1960s, but it is unremarkable, and won’t have the same resonance with British voters as it has done with Americans.
Well, The Help hasn’t got a hope. It is very surprising that it has been nominated for Best Film. It is a solid and perfectly watchable piece of light drama about civil rights in Mississippi in the 1960s, but it is unremarkable, and won’t have the same resonance with British voters as it has done with Americans.
Unfortunately, I think The
Descendants, a wonderful, masterpiece of a film, will have a tough night
and will struggle to win any awards. It certainly has no chance of winning Best
Film, which is a shame, but it is a year of tough competition. Drive has a slightly better chance
because a number of people absolutely love it. However, many people are miffed
by it. I think it is a very fine film, but I don’t get the unflinching
admiration some people have for it. That division somewhat nullifies its
chances.
So, it really is a straight head-to-head fight between Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy and The Artist. The former is very
well-admired and was an unexpected box office hit, and its eleven nominations
show that BAFTA does like the spy-thriller an awful lot. The latter is adored
by all, and leads the field with twelve nominations. It is a tight call, but I
do not think that Tinker Tailor will
quite be able to stop The Artist. In
a battle of two very good films, The
Artist is better loved and that will give it the edge.
Take a look at my full predictions for every BAFTA category
(other than the Short Film categories) below. Reel 6 will be tweeting along with the BBC broadcast of the awards ceremony.
The BAFTA Film Awards
are held tonight and edited highlights will be broadcast on BBC One from 9pm
BAFTA Predictions
Best Film: The Artist
Outstanding British Film: Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Best Director: Michel Hazanavicius – The Artist
Best Actor: Gary Oldman – Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Best Actress: Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady
Best Supporting Actor: Kenneth Branagh – My Week with Marilyn
Best Supporting Actress: Octavia Spencer – The Help
Best Original Screenplay: Midnight in Paris
Best Adapted Screenplay: The
Descendants
Best Cinematography: Tinker
Tailor Soldier Spy
Best Editing: Senna
Best Production Design: Harry
Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
Best Costume Design: My
Week with Marilyn
Best Music: The Artist
Best Make Up and Hair: The
Iron Lady
Best Sound: War Horse
Best Visual Effects: Rise
of the Planet of the Apes
Best Foreign Language Film: A Separation
Best Animated Film: The
Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn
Best Documentary: Senna
Rising Star Award: Eddie Redmayne
Outstanding British Debut: Tyrannosaur
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